As every year since 2009, Paysages tries to forecast the winner of the Nobel Prize in Literature[1]. As every year, the task is difficult but this year my favourite candidate for the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is António Lobo Antunes[2] followed by Mia Couto. So I would position António Lobo Antunes in first place followed by Mia Couto and furthermore the other aspirants of my permanent list of candidates for the Nobel Prize in Literature: Lyudmila Ulitskaya, Boualem Sansal , Claudio Magris, Adunis, Margaret Atwood, Jamaica Kincaid, Anne Carson, Art Spiegelman, Marjane Satrapi, Don DeLillo , Kamel Daoud, Salman Rushdie, Pierre Michon and perhaps Richard Powers. This is more or less the same list as in 2024. A review of some more “Nobel Prize in Literature 2025 Speculations” can be found here in the Literary Saloon, and here in the English Edition of El País: “Who will win the Nobel Prize for Literature? Amitav Ghosh, László Krasznahorkai, Cristina Rivera Garza, and Enrique Vila-Matas are the bookmakers’ favourites”.
Awarding the Nobel Prize in Literature to Salman Rushdie or to Boualem Sansal would also be a very political statement. Sansal is, in fact, a political prisoner; he has been in an Algerian prison for almost a year now. He is suffering from prostate cancer, and it is unclear whether he will survive his five-year prison sentence. From time to time, I share my post „written in December 2024“ ”, “Poste restante: Alger – pour ne pas oublier Boualem Sansal!” on Mastodon[2] and Bluesky[3] to remember his fate and ask for his liberation.
And now we have to wait until October 11, 13:00 CET to know who will be awarded the Nobel Prize in Literature 2025.
Christophe Neff, Grünstadt 08.10.2025
P.S: (09.10.2025 13:05): Finally László Krasznahorkai was awarded with the Nobel Prize in Literature 2025.
[1] See also, Le Nobel à Herta Müller ? Der Literaturnobelpreis für Herta Müller ? ,Wer wird den Literaturnobelpreis 2010 verliehen bekommen?, Blognotice 5.10.2011 – neiges automnales & prochain lauréat du Prix Nobel de littérature , Paysages forecast for Nobel Prize in Literature 2012, Paysages forecast for Nobel Prize in Literature 2013, Paysages forecast for Nobel Prize in Literature 2014, Paysages forecast for Nobel Prize in Literature 2015, Paysages forecast for Nobel Prize in Literature 2016, Paysages forecast for Nobel Prize in Literature 2017, Paysages forecast for Nobel Prize in Literature 2018/2019, Paysages forecast for Nobel Prize in Literature 2020 , Paysages forecast for Nobel Prize in Literature 2021, Paysages forecast for Nobel Prize in Literature 2022 ,Paysages forecast for Nobel Prize in Literature 2023 and Paysages forecast for Nobel Prize in Literature 2024.
[2] See also #BoualemSansal on Mastodon
[3] See also #BoualemSansal on Bluesky